Cement Manufacturers Association (CMA)

32 4.2 Policy Implications for the Cement Sector The CCTS builds on PAT-style intensity-based logic but now uses CO ₂ e intensity rather than energy-specific SEC. This allows the cement sector to pursue abatement through three primary levers: • Clinker-to-cement ratio reduction: Greater use of supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs) including fly ash, slag, and limestone calcined clay.[9] • Alternative fuel substitution: Displacing coal- based thermal input with biomass, municipal waste, or refuse-derived fuel (RDF).[9] • Kiln and grinding-mill efficiency: Waste- heat recovery (WHR) systems and advanced grinding technology lower SEC, building on PAT-era gains.[4,8] The 2.7% intensity reduction requirement by FY 2026–27 is broadly consistent with PAT-era improvements, suggesting the CCTS starts from a non-trivial but technically feasible baseline.[8] 5. Sectoral CCC Exposure under the CCTS (2026–2030) Figure 1 presents the hypothetical sectoral CCC deficit across the eight notified ICM sectors for 2026, 2028, and 2030, under a progressively tightening benchmark scenario. Error bars represent the low–high scenario range. The underlying data are reproduced in Table 3. Figure 1: Hypothetical Sectoral CCC Deficit under India's CCTS — FY 2026, 2028, and 2030. Error bars show low–high scenario range. Cement sector highlighted with bold border. Values are illustrative scenario ranges; not official government projections. Sources: BEE [1]; PIB [3]; NITI Aayog [9]. CCC Deficit (MtCO ₂ e / year) 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Cement Steel Aluminium Refineries Petrochem. Pulp & Paper Chlor- Alkali Textiles Error bars represent the low-high ± scenario range for the industrial sectors shown based on values are illustrative scenario ranges, not official government projections. Compliance Year FY 2026 FY 2028 FY 2030

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